US CPI November 10, 2026: how to read the inflation data and how the Dow Jones reacts
CPI is the most important inflation reading in the US. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes it once a month at 8:30 AM New York time (14:30 in Warsaw). Within seconds of the release, Dow Jones futures can travel further than in the whole previous hour.
Next release: Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM Warsaw)
| Release | Data for | Time in Warsaw | Time in New York |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 (Tue) | October 2026 | 14:30 | 8:30 AM ET |
| Dec 10, 2026 (Thu) | November 2026 | 14:30 | 8:30 AM ET |
| Jan 13, 2027 (Wed) | December 2026 | 14:30 | 8:30 AM ET |
Source: BLS release schedule (bls.gov). The forecast (consensus) appears in the economic calendar a few days before the release – live on Macro data today.
Why this release matters more than usual: on October 28 the Fed left rates unchanged, but two FOMC members voted for a hike and the market began pricing a possible hike in December (current expectations are shown by CME FedWatch). October CPI is the last inflation reading before the Fed decision on December 9 (Fed meeting dates). The market reacts to the difference between the result and the forecast, especially in core inflation (core CPI).
What gets published
- CPI m/m and y/y – the month-over-month and year-over-year change in prices (the headline number)
- Core CPI – excluding food and energy; this is what the market watches most, because it shows the persistent inflation the Fed responds to
- the market reacts to the difference between the actual number and the forecast, not to the number itself
How the Dow Jones reacted to recent CPI releases
Price change of the Dow Jones futures contract (MYM, CME) from the last trade before 8:30 AM ET, measured trade by trade:
| Release | 1 min | 15 min | 60 min | 15-min range | First impulse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | −226 | −345 | −314 | 394 | held |
| Sep 11, 2026 | −55 | +87 | +151 | 263 | reversed |
| Aug 12, 2026 | −46 | −10 | +14 | 177 | reversed |
| Jul 14, 2026 | +409 | +202 | +184 | 449 | faded |
| Jun 10, 2026 | +30 | +106 | +123 | 230 | held |
| May 12, 2026 | −19 | +23 | −25 | 101 | held |
| Apr 10, 2026 | −10 | −54 | −45 | 199 | held |
| Mar 11, 2026 | −19 | −110 | +38 | 212 | reversed |
On average the market covers 253 points in the 15 minutes after the data, and the direction of the first minute held only 4 times out of 8.
For comparison: after Fed decisions in 2026 the market moved on average 226 points in 15 minutes (Fed meeting dates), after NFP 210 points (NFP) – of these three releases, CPI produces the biggest move in the first 15 minutes.
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Frequently asked questions
When is US CPI in November 2026?
On Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM New York time (2:30 PM Warsaw). The report covers October data. Next releases: December 10, 2026 and January 13, 2027, also at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM Warsaw).
What time is the CPI released?
At 8:30 AM New York time, which is 14:30 in Warsaw (13:30 in the weeks when Europe and the US change their clocks on different dates).
Where can I check the US CPI forecast?
In the economic calendar, a few days before the release. On hetmancapital.com we show the forecast and the result on the Macro data today page. The market reacts to the difference between the result and the forecast.
How much does the Dow Jones move after CPI?
Over the last 8 releases the Dow Jones futures contract moved on average 253 points in 15 minutes, and the direction of the first minute held only 4 times out of 8. The largest 15-minute range: 449 points (July 14, 2026).
What is the difference between CPI and core CPI?
Core CPI excludes food and energy, so it shows persistent inflation better. It is what the market and the Fed watch most closely.
Educational material, not investment advice. Trading futures involves a high risk of losing capital.